Thursday, June 2, 2011

Urban Danger, alerting to fragility of urban areas and complete collapse, or sheer alarmism?

There's a lot of people predicting a collapse of our society. Perhaps it's peak oil, perhaps it's the fragile infrastructure and just in time delivery of supplies being disrupted, perhaps it's a global pandemic or disease, or whatever, there are plenty of possible causes. Urban Danger is an online movie talking about the dangers and telling us to be afraid and telling us to move to the country and get an off-grid homestead going.

What they say is:

Danger is stalking the city.
Like it or not, its a fact... life in urban areas is about to radically change due to developments most people are not aware of. Find out what the issues are and what YOU can do to not only survive but also thrive.
Far from a survivalist film, Urban Danger takes a common-sense look at our roots, finding practical solutions to problems we face today. You will meet many people from all walks of life who show you the common-sense preparations they are making for difficult times ahead. And in the process, they have found a superior quality of life. They have found what real living is all about.

The thrust of this movie is that the infrastructure of American Society is fragile, and can easily be disrupted. Cities are more dangerous than rural areas because in a rural area you can grow your own food, run your own solar electricity system, store up wood for the winter, can your own food, etc.

In other words this movie series is selling us on survival fear, and that we'd better go off the grid and learn how to live without money in order to survive.

Maybe this is fearism hyping up false fears that appear real. Or maybe it's a real honest warning of something that's likely to be happening in the not too distant future. How can we predict the future?


Part 1:

Begins with pictures of the Great Depression.. "no money" etc. It was a tough life, no money, little food, etc.

It was worse in the cities. Out in the country people living on farms were more self sufficient.

Today a dramatically smaller percentage of people live in the country on farms. Farming today is dependent on heavy machinery and fossil fuels. If the food supply system gets disrupted store shelves will empty out in about three days.

In other words they're making the case that our society is extremely susceptible to immediate collapse at any time of disruption.

Part 2:

Unfortunately food supply is not the only problem. The cities are going to be targets for terrorism which isn't just big bomb type weapons, but bioterrorism.

Again they're focusing on rural areas as the safe places - rural areas aren't where terrorists are going to strike, instead they'll strike in urban areas.

Part 3:

The electricity grid is fragile and can be disrupted. Think of all the electrical stuff we depend on - if the flow of electricity is cut off it'll disrupt everything.

Very vulnerable to terrorists - supposedly a dozen substations in the U.S. so critical to "the grid" that if those substations were taken out it would blacken the whole grid without recovery in any reasonable time. Take this as a major disruption and the whole system falls apart.

It would involve what they call a "black start" which is to restart the grid without electricity. Supposedly the grid elements can't themselves restart unless there is an electricity supply to get them running.

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